US-China Tariff Truce Extension Hinges on Trump's Approval

After two days of intense negotiations, US and China have agreed in principle to extend the tariff truce that was set to expire on August 12, but the final decision rests on President Donald Trump's approval.

Background and Context

The Stockholm meetings marked the third round of trade talks between the world's two largest economies in less than three months. The primary focus of these discussions was the possible extension of the tariff truce, a topic that has generated significant international attention.

The tariff truce, initially agreed upon in May, involved the removal of heavy tariffs on each other's goods for 90 days while trade negotiations continued. This tariff suspension was set to expire on August 12, according to sources close to the matter on both sides.

Key Developments

Despite the failure to reach a comprehensive resolution across all areas of the dispute, the negotiators agreed to extend the cessation of tariffs. As Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated, Nothing is agreed until we speak with President Trump.

President Trump also expressed his intention to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping before the end of the year, further indicating the importance of these negotiations. He described the Stockholm talks as going very well.

Implications and Reactions

The extension of the truce could potentially improve global growth estimates, as suggested by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). However, Washington is expected to push China to commit to large purchases of US goods. Recent customs data shows that Chinese imports of several American commodities have plunged or even halted entirely in recent months.

During the expected 90-day extension, China and the US have agreed not to introduce new tariffs or take other actions that could escalate the trade war. This commitment, if followed through, could potentially ease international trade tensions.

Conclusion

The final decision on the extension of the tariff truce between the US and China now lies in the hands of President Trump. Despite the lack of a resolution on all disputed areas, the extension can be seen as a positive step towards resolving the ongoing trade war. However, it's important to note that the situation remains fluid, with the potential for further developments in the coming months.